Make Wealth Flow Towards You!

How the Dollar Affects Your Investments and What to do about it (Part 1 of 2)

Posted by on Jan 24, 2010 in Investment Management | 2 comments

Let’s face it, like many Asian countries, the Philippines is a US Dollar Remittance driven economy and I have been asked many times about how to deal with the rise and fall of the USD as many Filipino Dollar Earners, Overseas Filipino Workers, as well as Export and Import driven businesses earning capacity and/or profit margins largely depend on learning how to effectively deal with this issue.

So in this very special 2 part article, I will explain why the USD rises and falls, how it affects the peso and what you can do about it right now so that you can protect your money and possibly even make a nice profit for your self.

Before we begin, let me say that I have been invested in currencies since 1998, I am one of the very few in the Philippines who teaches currency trading and if I do say so myself, I am very good at it. So I hope you are excited to learn because here we go.

Free Seminar Orientation

Click Here To Sign Up For FREE!

A couple of years ago I gave a seminar to a group of Exporters about how they can protect themselves against the rise and fall of the Dollar. This seminar was an eye opener for all of them because the solution that I showed them was far simpler than they could ever imagine. Now you don’t have to be an exporter to know and apply this simple strategy yourself, as long as you have some dollars in your possession, this article should shed some more light on the subject and make you more intelligent in how you deal with your money.

To understand what makes the US Dollar fluctuate, let me first open your mind to what goes on outside the Philippines and talk about the fantastic world of global currencies. Then I’m going to zone in on the Peso and why and how the USD affects it and what I recommend that you do about it.

Now I’m sure that you have heard of Euros, British Pounds, Swiss Francs, the Japanese Yen, the Canadian Dollar, The Australian Dollar, The New Zealand Dollar and of course the US Dollar right? Well among these major currencies that I talked about, the US Dollar is the “heavy weight” of them all.

The US Dollar is what we call the world’s reserve currency which means that everything that is bought and sold in the global markets are all priced in US Dollars. If you are an exporter of whatever product from the Philippines selling to Japan, you do not get paid in Yen, you get paid in US Dollars. If we import rice from Thailand (which we do, in fact, we are the biggest importer of rice in the world) we do not pay in Thai Baht, we pay in US Dollars. Even if you are an overseas worker in Saudi Arabia, your salary will most likely be in US Dollars. This is why all countries for the purposes of global trading has to have an adequate supply of US Dollars in their reserves.

Now keep that in mind while I now teach you a little economics to understand why the US Dollar fluctuates.

In Economics, there is the most basic law of “supply and demand”. In simple terms, there will be Sellers (Supply) and Buyers (Demand). To explain how this law works let me talk about one of my favorite canned goods of all time: Hormel’s SPAM.

Now for example Hormel, the producer of SPAM says, “Okay starting tomorrow we will no longer produce SPAM (Supply diminishes) people like me who loves SPAM will start buying up the remaining cans right? (Demand goes up) So if supply continues to diminish because there are more buyers (demand), what will happen to the price of spam? It will go up (price fluctuates). Now, what if the next day Hormel announces: “we were just kidding, we’re not going to stop production, we’re going to triple production and just change the brand”…(Supply goes up) People like me will not be very happy and will most probably be disinterested in buying spam again (Demand diminishes), now what will happen to the price of spam? It will go down (price fluctuates again).

Now let’s go back to the US Dollar. All you have to do to understand why and how the dollar fluctuates is to simply replace the word SPAM with US Dollars, then replace Hormel with the US Federal Reserve (The US Central Bank that regulates the production of US Dollars) then read the example again.

The US Federal Reserve says, “Okay starting tomorrow we will no longer produce US Dollars (Supply diminishes) people like me who loves US Dollars will start buying up the remaining Dollars right? (Demand goes up) So if supply continues to diminish because there are more buyers (demand), what will happen to the price of US Dollars? It will go up (price fluctuates). Now, what if the next day the US Fed announces: “we were just kidding, we’re not going to stop production, we’re going to triple production”…(Supply goes up) People like me will not be very happy and will most probably be disinterested in buying US Dollars again (Demand diminishes), now what will happen to the price of USD? It will go down (price fluctuates again).

Understand it a little better now?

So the real reason why the US Dollar goes up or down is because of the mixture of buyers of US Dollars, sellers of US Dollars, Production of US Dollars, and the Allure of US Dollars.

In Part 2 I will explain how the USD affects the Peso, your business / income and what you can do to protect yourself.

 

468 ad

2 Comments

Join the conversation and post a comment.

  1. Garrett Sciulli

    I always was interested in this topic and still am, regards for posting.

  2. RicardoG. Santiago

    I read your article today in the Manila Bulletin The Rise and Fall of the Peso, The Stock Market . I am interested the reason I went to this website.

Leave a Comment

Your email address will not be published. Required fields are marked *

You may use these HTML tags and attributes: <a href="" title=""> <abbr title=""> <acronym title=""> <b> <blockquote cite=""> <cite> <code> <del datetime=""> <em> <i> <q cite=""> <s> <strike> <strong>